North and Central Texas step into a high‑impact stretch of weather today as a Flood Watch takes effect across much of the region from this afternoon through Friday morning. Forecasters warn that this will be a multi‑day event, driven by a slow‑moving cold front and a deep plume of Gulf moisture capable of producing 2 to 4 inches of widespread rainfall, with isolated pockets reaching 6 to 7 inches — and even higher totals possible in the Austin–San Antonio corridor.

For many communities, this marks the first return to widespread heavy rain in quite some time, and the atmosphere is primed for a prolonged period of unsettled weather.

A Slow Build Toward a Wet and Stormy Afternoon

While a few isolated showers may drift into western counties early this morning, the main event is still on the horizon. By mid‑afternoon, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop near and west of I‑35, gradually expanding eastward through the evening.

Areas along and west of the US‑281 corridor sit under the greatest risk for strong to severe storms, with damaging winds and heavy rainfall the primary hazards. Meteorologists note that while the tornado threat is low, a brief, weak tornado or small hail cannot be ruled out.

As the sun sets, the atmosphere becomes increasingly saturated. Rain and storm coverage will grow overnight, and the concern shifts sharply toward flash flooding, especially in low‑lying areas, urban streets, and regions with poor drainage.

Thursday & Friday: The Heart of the Event

The most widespread and intense rainfall is expected Thursday through Thursday night, when the cold front slows and repeatedly funnels moisture across the region. Scattered to numerous storms will continue into Friday, though coverage will gradually decrease from west to east.

Severe weather is not the main story during this phase — flooding is. With soils becoming saturated and rainfall rates increasing, even normally dry creeks and streams may rise quickly. Gusty winds may accompany stronger storms, but the overall severe threat remains low.

A Cooler, Damp Weekend Ahead

Rain doesn’t end with the work week. Scattered showers and storms linger into Saturday and Sunday before tapering off early next week. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall will usher in a refreshing cool‑down, with highs in the 70s and 80s and overnight lows in the 50s and 60s — a noticeable shift from recent heat.

Safety First: Flash Flooding Can Escalate Quickly

With several days of heavy rain ahead, officials urge residents to stay alert:

• Have multiple ways to receive warnings, including weather apps and NOAA Weather Radio.
• Never drive into flood waters, even if they appear shallow.
• Turn Around, Don’t Drown — most flood fatalities occur in vehicles.
• Monitor trusted sources for updates as conditions evolve.

Flooding can happen any time of year, and preparation is key. More safety information is available at weather.gov/safety/flood.

Austin & San Antonio: Elevated Risk Through Friday

A separate Flood Watch covers much of South‑Central Texas — including Austin and San Antonio — from 7 PM Wednesday through 7 PM Friday. This region may see some of the highest rainfall totals, with 2 to 4 inches common and isolated amounts up to 8 inches. The slow‑moving front will bring repeated rounds of heavy rain, and life‑threatening flash flooding is possible.

Residents are urged to stay weather‑aware and keep a close eye on rapidly changing conditions.