Across Southeast and Central Texas today, low storm chances linger, offering at least a glimmer of hope for rainfall in a month that has been historically dry. Any isolated storms that do develop will be capable of frequent lightning and brief, beneficial downpours. Afternoon highs will push toward the century mark, and heat indices will climb to around 105. Even with slightly higher humidity, an elevated fire danger remains in place for areas north and west of the DFW Metroplex.
Midweek brings a better opportunity for meaningful rain—though mainly for southeast Central Texas. Tropical Storm Edouard continues its slow trek through the Gulf of Mexico, expected to move WNW toward the Upper Texas coast. As it approaches, deeper moisture will spread into the eastern half of the state, increasing rain chances Wednesday and Thursday for our eastern and southeastern counties. Storm coverage will be highest during the afternoon and evening hours. Not everyone will cash in on the rainfall, but the most likely totals for southeast Central Texas range from 1 to 2 inches, with isolated pockets up to 3 inches. Western North Texas, meanwhile, is likely to remain mostly dry, with rain chances hovering near 10 percent or less.
Regardless of who sees rain, the added cloud cover and moisture should help ease temperatures slightly across the region—welcome relief in a stretch defined by relentless heat and drought.
DFW’s dry streak continues to make headlines. As of today, the Metroplex has gone 47 consecutive days without measurable rainfall, now the 10th longest such streak on record. While a few neighborhoods picked up a brief shower last week, the official climate site at DFW Airport recorded only a trace—just enough to keep the streak alive. August 2026 will finish as one of the driest Augusts ever observed. Only one August has recorded a true 0.00″ (back in 2000), and this year joins a short list—just eight times since 1902—where the entire month produced only a trace of precipitation.
Farther south, in the Austin and San Antonio region, rain chances return for areas generally along and east of a Burnet‑to‑New Braunfels line. West of that boundary, conditions stay dry. Temperatures remain above normal, ranging from the lower 90s to near 103 degrees.
The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor Tropical Storm Edouard as it approaches the Upper Texas coast. Gradual strengthening is expected. While the storm’s main impacts will remain east‑northeast of South‑Central Texas, isolated to scattered showers and storms may develop along and east of the I‑35 corridor as outer rainbands brush the region.
Temperatures will stay warm through the week, with modest rain chances returning for more of the area by mid to late week. Relief may be uneven, but any break in the heat—and any drop of rain—will be welcomed across the region.
