A persistent upper-level ridge continues to lock high pressure over the Southern Plains, reinforcing a stretch of warm, dry weather across Texas and surrounding states. This stagnant pattern is expected to hold through Friday, keeping rain chances near zero and allowing daytime highs to climb into the mid-80s. By the weekend, a cold front is forecast to sweep through the region, bringing a modest drop in temperatures and a shift in winds—but still no measurable rainfall.

Across Central Texas, including Austin and San Antonio, mostly sunny skies will prevail, with temperatures starting in the 70s to low 80s early in the week and rising steadily toward the upper 80s and near 90°F by Friday. Overnight lows will also trend warmer, moving from the 40s and 50s into the 50s and 60s. This warming trend reflects the broader influence of zonal flow across the continental U.S., which favors above-average temperatures for much of the country.

🎃 October Recap: Heat and Spotty Rainfall

October wrapped up with a notable warmth across North and Central Texas. Waco recorded 18 days with highs at or above 90°F, underscoring the month’s persistent heat. Meanwhile, DFW logged 4.75 inches of rainfall, though nearly all of it fell during a concentrated two-day event on October 24–25. Outside of those dates, dry conditions dominated.

🌎 National Weather Highlights

The National Weather Service’s short-range public discussion highlights a dynamic setup for the western U.S., where unsettled conditions are expected to intensify. Northern California and the Pacific Northwest are bracing for heavy rainfall and strong coastal winds through Wednesday, driven by a reinforcing cyclone in the northeast Pacific. This system is expected to tap into an atmospheric river, increasing the potential for localized flooding and isolated thunderstorms.

Farther inland, mountain snow across the Northern Continental Divide has prompted winter weather advisories, with accumulations expected at higher elevations. Meanwhile, downslope winds across the High Plains are contributing to dry and breezy conditions, elevating wildfire risks in parts of Wyoming, South Dakota, Colorado, and Nebraska. Red flag warnings remain in effect for portions of western Nebraska, and record high temperatures are possible today in the Texas Panhandle and Colorado Front Range due to compressional heating.

In the Northeast, a progressive low pressure system will bring scattered showers and higher elevation snow to the Northern Appalachians through midweek, with another round of snow showers possible Thursday morning.

📍 Local Outlook: Central and Eastern Texas

KNCT Meteorologist Bill Hecke reports a crisp and clear start to Tuesday morning across the region, with temperatures in the 40s and a light southerly breeze. Southern and southeastern areas are slightly milder, with readings in the upper 40s to low 50s. Afternoon highs will reach the upper 70s to low 80s, with southerly winds increasing to 5–15 mph and gusts near 18 mph.

Looking ahead, the warm and dry pattern will persist through Friday, with highs climbing into the mid to upper 80s. A weekend cold front is expected to bring a shift in winds and a return to more seasonable temperatures, but no rainfall is anticipated in the next seven days.