A weak stationary front is nudging into Central Texas this afternoon, bringing a slight chance of isolated showers mainly east of I-35. Rain coverage will remain sparse, with a small amount of the region expected to see any measurable precipitation. Despite the presence of this front, temperatures will continue to run warm, with highs ranging from the mid-80s to low 90s both today and tomorrow.

In the Austin and San Antonio areas, expect partly cloudy skies and above-average warmth. Highs will stretch from the mid-80s into the mid-90s, with a few stray showers or thunderstorms possible across the western Hill Country, Southern Edwards Plateau, and along the Rio Grande. Winds will be out of the northeast at 5 to 15 mph, offering a subtle shift in air mass but little relief from the heat.

KNCT Meteorologist Bill Hecke reports that a shallow pool of cooler air has settled over the area, bringing a northeasterly flow. While this shift hasn’t significantly altered daytime temperatures, the drier air is making a noticeable difference in comfort levels. Skies remain mostly clear to partly cloudy, and highs will peak in the low to mid-90s after a morning start in the 60s. Tonight, expect similar conditions with lows dipping into the mid to upper 60s. Thursday looks bright and sunny, with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s and continued northeast winds around 5 to 10 mph.

Looking ahead, warm and dry weather will dominate the weekend forecast. Afternoon highs will remain in the 80s and 90s, while nighttime lows settle into the 50s and low to mid 60s. With humidity levels dropping and no rain expected, wildfire risks may increase—especially in areas with dry vegetation and gusty winds. Residents are encouraged to stay alert and follow local fire safety guidelines.

Unfortunately, the broader outlook through mid-October favors above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation across much of the region. The continued lack of meaningful rainfall combined with persistent warmth could lead to an uptick in wildfire activity, particularly in rural and brush-heavy areas.

Nationally, the Weather Prediction Center is monitoring moisture surging into the Southwest from Hurricane Priscilla. Portions of Arizona and New Mexico are already seeing scattered showers and thunderstorms, with a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 4) for flash flooding—especially near recent burn scars. By Thursday, this tropical moisture is expected to expand into the Four Corners region, bringing locally heavy rainfall and isolated flooding concerns. This pattern is likely to persist into the weekend.

Meanwhile, a cold front sweeping through the Eastern Seaboard is triggering widespread showers today. Precipitation will taper off by tonight across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, though scattered storms may linger in the Southeast and Florida into Thursday. Urban areas along Florida’s Atlantic coast could see localized flooding as rainfall intensifies.

In the Pacific Northwest, a separate frontal system is pushing inland, bringing increased shower chances and the possibility of snow mixing in at higher elevations. Behind the Eastern cold front, temperatures will drop sharply—highs in the Northeast are expected to fall into the 50s by Thursday, with frost and freeze advisories in effect for parts of the Appalachians, Great Lakes, and northern Mid-Atlantic. Overnight lows could dip near or below freezing in these regions.

By contrast, the Intermountain West and northern Plains will continue to experience above-normal warmth, with highs in the 70s and 80s expanding into the central U.S. by Thursday. Low 90s will persist across parts of Texas, while the West Coast begins to cool under the influence of an approaching cold front.

Stay tuned to KNCT for hourly updates and get forecasts on-demand at myKNCT.com. Whether you’re planning a weekend outing or keeping an eye on fire safety, we’ve got you covered with the latest conditions across Central Texas and beyond.

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