As the afternoon unfolds across much of the country, warm and dry conditions will dominate, with only a slight chance—around 20%—of isolated thunderstorms. Highs are expected to climb into the lower to mid-90s, continuing a trend of above-normal temperatures that has settled over the region.

In South-Central Texas, including the Austin and San Antonio areas, partly cloudy skies will accompany temperatures ranging from the mid-80s to mid-90s. While most areas will stay dry, there remains a low chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms, particularly east of the Uvalde–Kerrville–Llano line. According to KNCT Meteorologist Bill Hecke, this morning began with clear skies, temperatures in the 60s, and a gentle southerly breeze. Hecke notes that today’s weather will mirror recent patterns, with sunshine, a few clouds, and southerly winds around 5 to 10 mph. He advises residents to stay mindful of the heat and keep an eye out for any developing storms.

Looking ahead, storm chances will gradually increase through the week and into the weekend, with intermittent rainfall expected across several regions. Temperatures are forecast to slowly return to near-normal levels, though they will remain a few degrees above average in many areas.

Nationally, the Weather Prediction Center reports a coastal low lingering over the Mid-Atlantic, bringing scattered rain and embedded thunderstorms to parts of Virginia and southeastern New England. By Thursday, the system is expected to weaken and drift offshore, allowing sunshine to return. Meanwhile, an upper-level low moving through the Intermountain West is set to trigger rounds of heavy rain and possible severe storms across the northern and central Plains. Areas like western South Dakota could see 1–2 inches of rain before conditions ease later in the week.

In the Southwest, tropical moisture from post-tropical Mario is pushing into southern California, Arizona, and New Mexico. While rainfall totals are modest, they offer welcome relief to regions that have been notably dry. Southern California may see up to half an inch of rain, with higher amounts in mountainous areas.

Across the Midwest, heat continues to build, with temperatures soaring well into the 90s—10 to 15 degrees above normal in some locations. In contrast, cooler-than-average conditions are expected in the East and parts of the northern Rockies.

Florida is also seeing an uptick in tropical moisture, with widespread showers and thunderstorms forecast for the southern peninsula. The Florida Keys could receive up to 3 inches of rain through Friday morning.

As weather patterns shift and storm chances rise, KNCT will continue to provide hourly updates and on-demand forecasts at myKNCT.com. Stay tuned and stay weather-aware.